research

job market paper

Price Regulation and the Adoption–Innovation Trade-off (with Felipe Berrutti)

Recipient of the Susan Schmidt Bies Prize for Doctoral Student Research on Economics and Public Policy.
Supported by the Global Poverty Research Lab, an Exploratory Travel and Piloting Grant from the Weiss Fund for Research in Development Economics at the University of Chicago, a Conference Travel Grant from the Northwestern Buffett Institute for Global Affairs, and a Graduate Research Grant from the Graduate School at Northwestern University.
[Abstract]   [PDF ]   [Presentation ]
Regulating the price of existing technologies can spur their adoption yet deter subsequent innovation. In India, price controls on genetically engineered (GE) cotton seeds induced this trade-off. Leveraging the policy's differential timing across states, we show that mandated price reductions accelerated adoption of GE seeds by farmers. Although seed supply kept pace, innovation subsequently stalled: fewer new varieties were introduced. Using newly assembled data from experimental field trials across India, we show that agronomic yields of new varieties fell in price-controlled states. To quantify the welfare implications of price and yield effects, we develop and estimate a structural model of demand and supply for seeds with endogenous product attributes. While the policy raised farmers' surplus, especially among the poor, ignoring innovation responses in equilibrium vastly overstates their welfare gains. We use the estimated model to assess alternative policies that better balance adoption and innovation incentives. For a given public budget, incentives for seed developers tied to the productivity of new varieties achieve the highest welfare for farmers.


other papers

The Origins of the Nitrogen Revolution (with Christopher Sims)

Supported by the Center for Economic History and the EconLab at Northwestern University, an International Research Travel Grant from the Northwestern Buffett Institute for Global Affairs, and a Graduate Research Grant from the Graduate School at Northwestern University.
[Abstract]   [PDF ]
Many technologies raise productivity in locations constrained by their natural endowments yet diminish specialization across space. We show that the first commercial nitrogen fertilizers in history were one such "converging" technology. Leveraging natural variation in soil nitrogen deficiency and the sudden introduction of Peruvian guano and nitrates to 19th-century England, we provide two main empirical findings. First, locations specialized on the basis of their natural endowments before the introduction of fertilizer: nitrogen-deficient places devoted less land to nitrogen-intensive crops. Second, combining newly-digitized data and a difference-in-differences design, we show that these nitrogen-deficient places substantially reallocated toward nitrogen-intensive crops after fertilizer was introduced, indicating convergence across space. To quantify the welfare impact of this "converging" technology, we embed fertilizer into a quantitative spatial model of the English agricultural sector with realistic geography. The welfare gains from fertilizer were equivalent to two decades of annual productivity growth in agriculture. However, convergence implies a reduction in the gains from trade, which offsets up to 10% of these welfare gains under plausible trade cost regimes.

Reshaping Agricultural Subsidies (with Paul Christian, Steven Glover, Florence Kondylis, John Loeser, and Astrid Zwager)

Recipient of the Early Career Scholars Grant from Policy Impacts.
[Abstract]   [Draft coming soon]
We study the optimal design of agricultural input subsidies using an experiment in Mozambique that cross-randomized subsidy rates for small and for large input quantities. Increased subsidy rates for small quantities increase payouts to poorer farmers, but divert farmers from large input quantities. While they do not reach poorer farmers, increased subsidy rates for large quantities increase agricultural production by 36% by increasing input use by more marginally productive farmers. Both informational and financial constraints cause high marginal returns to inputs. We derive and estimate sufficient statistics to quantify how planner preferences over productivity, transfers, and equity shape optimal agricultural input subsidies.
Maximum Wages and Organizational Performance: Evidence from the Liberian Public Sector (with [Erika Deserranno](https://sites.google.com/site/erikadeserranno/home), [Jennifer Ljungqvist](https://www.lshtm.ac.uk/aboutus/people/ljungqvist.jennifer), [Vincent Pons](https://www.vincentpons.org/), and [Daniel Rogger](https://danrogger.com/))


publications

2025

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    Brigandage and the Political Legacy of Monarchical Legitimacy in Southern Italy
    Matteo Ruzzante, and Cristoforo Pizzimenti
    Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 2025

2024

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    Teacher-Led Innovations to Improve Education Outcomes: Experimental Evidence from Brazil
    Caio PizaAstrid ZwagerMatteo RuzzanteRafael Dantas, and Andre Loureiro
    Journal of Public Economics, 2024

2022

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    Do Private Consultants Promote Savings and Investments in Rural Mozambique?
    Paul Christian, Steven Glover , Florence KondylisValerie MuellerMatteo Ruzzante, and Astrid Zwager
    Agricultural Economics, 2022

2020

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    Psychological Factors Influencing Pro-environmental Behavior in Developing Countries: Evidence from Colombian and Nicaraguan Students
    Manuel Francisco Díaz , Andrés Charry , Stefania Sellitti , Matteo Ruzzante, Karen Enciso , and Stefan Burkart
    Frontiers in Psychology, 2020



policy briefs and reports

**São Paulo Development and Access to Markets Project** (with [Isabela Furtado](https://blogs.worldbank.org/team/isabela-furtado), [Caio Piza](https://www.worldbank.org/en/about/people/c/caio-piza), and [Astrid Zwager](https://www.worldbank.org/en/about/people/a/astrid-zwager))
Impact Evaluation Report
Blogpost on Let's Talk Development
**Perceptions on Climate Change in Colombia and Nicaragua: Evidence from Higher Education Students** (with Stefan Burkart, Manuel F. Díaz, Karen Enciso, and Stefania Sellitti)
CIAT Policy Briefs in English [No. 44], [No. 45] and Spanish [No. 44], [No. 45]
Poster in Spanish